China goes shopping

I suppose it could be worse – it could be called [email protected] or something. But apart from a company with a stupid name, what does state-owned ChemChina get for the US$43 billion it plans to pay for Swiss seeds and pesticides maker Syngenta?

The South China Morning Post files the story under ‘agriculture’ and sees the deal as an acquisition of cutting-edge crop technology and a boost to food security. Reuters says China wants to increase productivity on its degraded farmland. Syngenta has a big presence in the US, so authorities there will examine the takeover for possible repercussions to their own national security, and probably find nothing to worry about.

Why does the Chinese government (of which ChemChina is essentially an arm) feel a need to spend US$43 billion on a foreign company whose products may help improve its agricultural sector? The country could shop around and buy the best and latest in high-yield GM seeds, pesticides, fertilizers and other farm technology not only from Syngenta but from Monsanto and all the other players out there, at a fraction of the cost.

Maybe, like Victor Kiam, they were ‘so impressed’ and see long-term returns. As a Chinese SCMP-ChemChinastate-owned company enjoying favourable financing and protection from competition, ChemChina is probably sitting on huge piles of cash, and – like everyone else in the Mainland – would rather move it offshore. It is official policy to diversify; thanks to another recent acquisition by ChemChina, the Chinese public are now the proud owners of Italian tyre manufacturer Pirelli.

But this is not about a sovereign wealth fund adding to its portfolio. This is about control – or more to the point, a psychological need for a sense of control. China has also bought Smithfield, the world’s biggest pork producer, and owns/leases farmland from New Zealand to Africa, and holds other supplies of resources overseas like mines. Other countries dependent on imports of vital commodities, like Japan, just buy what they need at market prices. This isn’t so much about national security as Chinese Communist Party insecurity. China’s leaders are paranoid and convinced the world is out to get them. Ownership of sources of raw materials makes them feel less vulnerable. Interestingly, rather than making China less reliant on evil barbarians, it probably exposes the country to new risks like sequestration, or devaluation of fixed assets, or a case of buyer’s remorse on being lumbered with a bad deal.

That bring us to the amount China is paying for this stuff. Chinese officials might rationalize these acquisitions in mercantilist terms: why pay foreigners dividends when you can keep all the profits yourself? But if the foreign shareholders are all too delighted to sell, it suggests that China might not be getting the fantastic and clever deal it imagines.

The Reuters report quotes a fund manager as saying that ‘Syngenta has never been valued so highly. Over the last few years the company has failed to demonstrate it can generate reasonable earnings on its own’, and pretty much adding that he can’t wait to grab the cash.

Syngenta’s boss is interviewed on CNBC. Too suavely European to drool openly all over the newscaster’s desk, he purrs about ‘a very nice premium for shareholders… a multiple of earnings…’ Mmmmm. Could there be a nicer bunch of people to do business with than the Xi regime?

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6 Responses to China goes shopping

  1. The French revolution was preceded by a series of failed harvests. The CCP does think ahead, you see. I was wide awake until I read SCMP and Reuters and Syngenta in the same second paragraph. And on our first glimpse of sunshine in weeks too…there must be better things to write about….like why do all Korean girls in HK wear tan pantyhose, plimsolls and rouge absolut lipstick. Are we being invaded by Koreaklones?

  2. Off To Hawaii says:

    China isn’t the only one with short sighted problems caused by internal conflicts of interest. After all, scrutiny is just another word for shake down. Hill(ary) is a bit miffed Bill is so busy campaigning with overseas nations/corporations to line the pockets of the Clinton (Foundation) that he has little energy to help his old hump get into office. Bill has to race for the money because once Obama retires, there will be just that much more competition for soliciting bribes speaking fees from China and it’s neo-con/neo-lib bankers/partners. Once those speeches for a few ex-Presidents, ex-Sec. of State, ex-SEC chairmen are made good, approval is in the bag.

    Got of feel sorry for Bill, Chinese women don’t do B-52 hair and big bottoms very well.

  3. inspired says:

    I would say it’s just putting assets in a place where they won’t evaporate when market sentiment goes down…

    The idea that GM crops will do great things for China’s agricultural production is window dressing, unless Syngenta has managed to invent crops that can grow on grey water or in a desert.

  4. Don't Play With Fire says:

    Rule of Law (I don’t think that means what you think it means) is an old story with China.

    One of the reasons for the sharp uptake and then rapid decline in the domestic upper middle class of Hong Kong is a lot of those businessmen like the Taiwanese moved into China (instead of SE Asia). After a few years of great profits they soon found that it was the CCP that wound up owning them, and not the other way around. One fellow I knew had a successful plastic plant which he moved to Dongguan now drives a bus for KMB and considers himself lucky to be alive. One of the most interesting cases has to be the (near?) bankruptcy of the Fellows Corporation when all of their production lines were seized by the local JV partner. I When the CCP talks about the Rule of Law, they are referring to the model by Han Fei Zi, and not the Western/UN standard.

    Translations without a firm grounding in both cultures, particularly where a party with the monopoly on violence is at play, is hazardous in the extreme.

  5. Old Newcomer says:

    @Off to Hawaii – perhaps you haven’t heard the rumour that Bill persuaded his golfing partner Donald Trump to run for the Republican nomination to ensure Hillary’s election? Then along comes Bernie Sanders on her other flank to spoil the plan…

  6. Red Dragon says:

    “China’s leaders are…convinced the world is out to get them.”

    And if I have anything to do with it (which, alas, I don’t), they’ll be bloody right.

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