Tricycling ban to defeat fifth wave

The Hong Kong government’s Covid policy so far involves: using the pandemic as an excuse to ban political gatherings; banning outdoor social activities more than indoor ones; neglecting to push the elderly to get vaccinated; happily ignoring damage done to businesses and livelihoods; encouraging reliance on less-effective Mainland vaccines; imposing punitive quarantine requirements that make travel near-impossible, isolation rules that incentivize possible carriers to avoid testing, and fruitless lockdowns; and obsessively focusing on reopening the border with the Mainland as the only possible – if hopelessly distant – priority.

Even if you strip Beijing out of the equation, we are still left with a local administration that sticks to its quarter-century long tradition of refusing on principle to back down and change its policies.

Now, as other developed economies start to move on to post-pandemic life, the detection of one local transmission of the omicron variant prompts a new round of pre-vax zero-Covid social distancing and travel restrictions – riddled with incoherence. 

Among the facilities to be closed: children’s playgrounds, but not schools; golf courses, but not packed MTR stations; restaurants at dinner-time, but not during lunch; pebble walking trails, but not non-pebble walking trails. And, to quote HKFP, ‘“Cruises to nowhere” will be cancelled’. Cruises to nowhere are an apt metaphor for Hong Kong: no-one can get on, no-one can get off, and we have no destination. Many flights to nowhere too, with direct air links cut with the UK, US, Canada, Australia and France. 

For someone’s convenience – but not yours – each government department issues a separate statement on which facilities/events it will be suspending. Thus the Ag and Fish Dept tells you to forget visiting geo parks here. The Environmental Protection Dept says abandon hope of going to the Weee Park here. And the Leisure and Cultural Services Dept announces closure of all its pebble walking trails, kids’ tricycling lots, outdoor chess tables and gateball courts here. Travel stuff is here.

It is hard to tell exactly what the government is trying to achieve given that Covid is going to become endemic worldwide. At best, it feels as if bureaucrats and their preferred medical experts are trapped and going round in circles in a room refusing to open doors marked ‘vaccinate the elderly’ and ‘travel bubbles’ and ‘let kids play outdoors’ and ‘use common-sense’. At worst, it feels like a deliberate plan to permanently downgrade the city and leave the population in a state of despair.

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Another day in the criminalizing of speech

Chow Hang-tung – already in prison – gets a 15-month sentence for inciting Tiananmen vigils/illegal assembly. Two threads on the Facebook and Ming Pao writings the magistrate decided were crimes (plus links to decision), and interesting comment on the case and the apparent decline in judicial independence.

Update: comment from Samuel Bickett…

I will focus in this article on one disturbing aspect of Magistrate Chan’s ruling: her blatant misstatements of several exculpatory facts. Magistrate Chan reordered the timeline of events and omitted exculpatory portions of a key document in the case: a social media post by Chow supposedly calling on others to join an unlawful protest.

Online radical outlet Mad Dog Daily shuts down. Carrie Lam stresses that Hong Kong has freedom of the press (provided you don’t mind being arrested for conspiracy to collude with foreign forces, incitement to sedition etc).

From David Webb: Hong Kong’s population has fallen by 2% since mid-2020 – 140,444 net departures, plus 11,500 net deaths. Factor in an estimated 74,000 Mainland immigrants entering on one-way permits (replacing around half the net departures), and you have about 3% of Hongkongers leaving during that 18-month period. (For context, in the previous 10 years annual population growth was in the 0.6-0.9% range, according to this. What this means in practice: fewer than 20 parents turn up at the start of admissions applications at an ‘elite’ high school.)

Elsewhere… A thread on what’s really happening in Xi’an, using Weibo as a source. Forbes on how the stock market could be affected by China (allegedly, ho hum) undercounting its Covid deaths.

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Today’s Headline That Solves All Our Problems…

…comes from the SCMP:

(Based on my cursory reading, the article gently and respectfully suggests that the Hong Kong government might set up a committee to consider the possibility of getting its head out of its ass.)

Your daily mouth-frothing tantrum comes from Global Times, relaying Chinese nationalists’ hurt feelings over TVB’s award to actress Ali Li. (What groveling response can we expect from money-losing-but-patriotic TVB?)

For gentlefolk of a more-delicate disposition, a limper semi-conniption from the Security Secretary about an editorial in the Wall Street Journal (whose filing cabinet of whiny letters from the Hong Kong government must now be bursting at the seams). While relatively mild, whoever wrote it does at least manage to include the Security Bureau’s official angry-official word ‘appalling’.

This week’s Chabuduo Award for cheap hastily-erected crappy-looking flagpoles goes to…HKU!

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Shoe-shiners on parade

Citizen News shuts down (translation of last Facebook post here). The number of Hong Kong news outlets that the CCP does not directly or indirectly control is getting to be very small.

Secretary for Security Chris Tang Ping-keung says an interview that his bureau’s biggest achievement last year was national security…

“The cessation of Apple Daily impressed me the most. This newspaper was poisoning Hongkongers, especially giving the young people a wrong idea about China,” Tang said. “Since the newspaper has been shut down now, the society will be better and more democratic,” he added.

Other loyalists leap to defend the earlier closure of Stand News by accusing overseas critics of law-breaking… 

In saying that ‘journalism is not sedition’, Blinken perhaps touched a raw nerve. Justice Secretary Teresa Cheng claims that foreigners criticizing the Stand News arrests are ‘violating international law’ (though the use of sedition to suppress peaceful opinions is surely incompatible with the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights).

A thread by Tom Kellogg on the use of archaic sedition laws against Stand News. He postulates that the authorities are trying to ban local media from quoting comments by exiled activists like Nathan Law. As he says, this seems pointless since Hong Kong residents can still access the same material in overseas-based media. Unless and until, of course, a ‘great firewall’ cuts us off from the Internet.

Chris Patten joins in…

“Xi Jinping’s Communist dictatorship in Beijing and its quisling sidekicks in Hong Kong continue their relentless assault on the city’s freedoms.” 

Some more links to get 2022off to a cheerful start…

How many times can you put the words ‘Chinese style’ into one paragraph? One sentence? The person who wrote the press release on the Immigration Dept’s rookie graduation parade finds out.

New Years Eve on Lion Rock.

From CNN, Tiananmen sculptures disappear from campuses – but the symbolism remains.

Also from CNN, can Beijing do the Winter Olympics and fight Omicron Covid at the same time?

An interesting thread on China’s infrastructure miracle.

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The state of things at end-2021…

Hordes of useful nematodes rush to support the crushing of Stand News.

At least some of the outlet’s online materials have been backed up (link to Wayback Machine site).

Not jealous or anything – Alex Lo says Stand News was doomed because one in four Hongkongers were reading it. (SCMP meanwhile is shedding reporters at a rather unhealthy rate – is it five that have handed in their notice in the last month or so?) 

The Court of First Instance declares the HK Police’s method of freezing dissidents’ bank accounts unlawful. Summary from Samuel Bickett. (Presumably this ‘loophole’ will be plugged.)

On the scale of eagerness to appease the Chinese Communist Party, the Catholic Church comes somewhere between Goldman Sachs and the International Olympic Committee. Beijing’s Barbarian Superstitions Management Team turns up in Hong Kong to remind the local bishops who’s boss.

You’ve heard all about how improved patriots-only elections will deliver superior governance – now see it in action: the government sets a minimum apartment size of 280 sq ft (two whole car-parking spaces). Radical idea applies to one new development only.

Some weekend/New Year reading…

Who were the 30% who voted in the quasi-election? Oiwan Lam says they include her parents, plus four groups: Red loyalists, employees of Mainland companies, fearful civil servants, and (not least) the local older-generation Blue conservative authoritarian Regina-worshiping youth-loathing Anti-Sex League types.

From Tim Hamlett, a critique of the official version of the history of democracy in Hong Kong.

Number-crunching from David Webb: there are more passengers leaving and entering Hong Kong at Kai Tak than at Chek Lap Kok. Can 2022 be any weirder?

German bookstores allowing the CCP to ‘curate’ their selections, and other methods of Beijing’s (attempted) influence-expansion.

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Black sheep who tarnish press freedom arrested

The latest numbers show that schools are losing more students (and teachers). Chief Executive Carrie Lam said a couple of months ago that…

“We need to show citizens, whether those who have already left or are planning to emigrate, to see what Hong Kong’s prospects will be.”

Which brings us to the raid on and closure of Stand News and arrests of people associated with the outlet (video here). 

HKFP quotes Steve Li, a senior officer in the NatSec Police, as saying the suspected crimes involve things like: overseas activists/correspondents conspiring to incite hatred towards the government; news reports containing subjective reporting using interviewees’ quotes to show sympathy; and funding of a London office for which the organization appeared to have no legitimate purpose.

The detained former directors of Stand include some prominent and highly respected figures. Margaret Ng is a former lawmaker and exceptionally sharp lawyer. Denise Ho is a famous singer with fans around the globe. Christine Fang is a well-connected social-welfare lobbyist (a relation of Dame Conscience and for years on good terms with top officials and businessmen). The timing of this raid in the midst of holidays suggests an attempt to avoid overseas attention, though even Variety takes notice.

Beijing’s line is that  ‘black sheep who endanger national security and undermine the rule of law and public order under the cover of journalism are tarnishing press freedom’. 

Ultimately, this is about criminalizing opinions.

Xinqi Su on the arrests in the context of (among other things) the Court of Final Appeal’s okaying of applying NatSec Law procedures – like denial of bail – in non NatSec Law cases (see also Senia Ng). And Samuel Bickett…

Police are nurturing a climate of fear—not of law, courts or the “system”, but of the HK Police themselves. If they made arrests only to have the arrestees bailed pending trial, it would signal that law & courts can still check HK police power. Police think they’d look weak.

The minority of NSL defs who do get bail infuriates the police. A police state cannot tolerate a court system that treats defendants as innocent until proven guilty. Hence they waited until today to maximize chance of imprisonment w/o trial.

Bickett expands on this in a longer article, predicting that all independent media will ‘retreat’ or simply shut down soon. The international press and academics will presumably not be spared.

Meanwhile, the authorities are preparing to celebrate the 25th anniversary of the handover.

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Hysterickal Erick gets cholerick, splenetick, intemperick

A gloriously wrathful, vexed, ranting, mouth-frothing letter to the WSJ from Secretary of Constitutional/Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang.

More charges against Jimmy Lai and other Next Media people (and Stand News/HKJA chair Ronson Chan detained at dawn), namely conspiring to:

“print, publish, sell, offer for sale, distribute, display and/or reproduce seditious publications.” 

…otherwise known as producing newspapers. (Update: Denise Ho and Margaret Ng among others arrested. Seems Christine Fang – establishment-friendly former CE of the HK Council for Social Service – is one. Weird.)

A not-very-optimistic view of what could happen if/when a fifth wave of Covid eventually breaks out in semi-vaccinated Hong Kong.

From the SCMP, an interview with a Mainland think-tank expert on how it’s all the fault of evil foreigners being too stupid to understand China…

China needs to do more to explain its system and values to the world, to avoid misunderstanding and mistrust in the West, according to the founder of a Beijing-based non-governmental think tank.

In an interview on Talking Post with chief news editor Yonden Lhatoo, Wang Huiyao from the Centre for China and Globalisation (CCG) said he faced an uphill battle when speaking to Western media about China.

“We know from the very beginning it’s a tremendous challenge to communicate with the outside world. I think first, China doesn’t really have many people who speak [or have] command of good English,” Wang said.

“But particularly, I think China has a different system, different values, maybe a different history and culture.”

By ‘China’, perhaps he means ‘the CCP’.

Some Xmas leftovers – anti-Christmas regulations from Chinese officials…

If anyone finds individuals and organizations doing any event of ‘Christmas’ or ‘Holy Night,’ please contact immediately the County Public Security bureau and comrade Li. Number: 17772028488.

From Politico, China-watchers’ predictions for 2022. 

And following the hardly-tragic loss of Nicaragua, some lateral thinking on Taiwan…

As counterintuitive as it may seem, Taiwan should further consider unilaterally shedding all remaining partners to strengthen its hand long-term against China.

My modest proposal is that Taiwan unilaterally go further in order to comply with the ‘only one China’ rule:

# return the entire contents of the National Palace Museum to Beijing as plundered treasure that is the rightful property of the PRC;

# evacuate Kinmen and other burdensome little islands just off the Chinese coast, ceding them to the PRC as its legitimate sovereign territory;

# step up the dismantling/renaming of Chiang Kai Shek and similar memorials, and design a new flag, as a decolonization process; and

# announce official recognition of the PRC as an independent nation, renouncing the Republic of China’s traditional claim to the Mainland as outdated and revanchist.

In short, turn the tables on Beijing. Rather than declare Taiwan independent, grant the Mainland independence and de-facto dissolve the RoC as archaic.

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A merry coerced amnesia to all!

The holiday season purge of June 4 memorials at campuses continues with the removal of a ‘Goddess of Democracy’ figure from Chinese U campus, and the ’clearance’ of the vivid relief at Lingnan U (pics). (Full report.) How does the boss at M+ feel?

An HKFP op-ed by Louisa Lim…  

…the ultimate motive for this move may not be so much coerced amnesia as the abasement of yet another of Hong Kong’s proud institutions.

She wrote the book on this, but I suspect coerced amnesia does have a lot to do with it.

An explainer from AP on the ‘Pillar of Shame’.

If you liked yesterday’s quote from the Tsinghua guy on Hong Kong’s ‘improved’ elections (‘more broadly representative, politically inclusive, ensuring balanced participation, guaranteeing fair competition’), you’ll enjoy today’s spin on the 30% turnout from the Liaison Office deputy head…

A Beijing official said Sunday’s Legislative Council elections showed that Hong Kong is embarking upon the path of “good-quality democracy”, adding that more than 1.3 million people who cast their ballots have given foreign forces who tried to undermine the polls a “slap in their face”.

Speaking at a seminar on Thursday, the deputy head of the liaison office, Chen Dong, said rationality was brought back to the elections which had been highly-politicised.

The only good elections are de-politicized elections!

An HKFP op-ed on the all-patriots LegCo’s lack of connection with the community…

…most of the new Legco members do not have networks beyond their social class and their narrow circle of business and professional chums. 

Not sure why people keep calling dimwit shoe-shiners ‘elites’. Even calling them ‘insiders’ would be a stretch (let alone ‘heavyweights’). The CCP did not pick them for their superior critical-thinking skills or other talents – and that includes the ‘non-pro-establishment’ one.

Among the Hong Kong government’s many contributions to the field of bullshit jobs is the Tourist Commission (I would guess these people are all paid over HK$1 million a year each). The body is finally putting to rest the Food-cum-Truck Hub-Zone Themed Concept Bureaucratic Hairball Scheme, which was aimed at ‘adding fun and vibrancy’, but mysteriously failed.

Some more happy-holidays reading…

The Art Newspaper on that Dior photo that ‘hurt the feelings’. 

From ASPI, a detailed examination of the Peng Shuai ‘proof of life’ videos.

And a music vid – maybe not everyone’s cup of tea – Moses Sumney’s Blackalachia.

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Festive joy from HKU

Whatever its artistic merits, the Pillar of Shame was always a symbolically highly charged work – and no more so than at its end. Under cover of darkness and plastic sheeting, HKU dismantles and removes the campus exhibit, which sculptor Jens Galschiot claims as his personal property. Because of safety and colonial-era laws, not pressure from Beijing officials, obviously. Now it’s probably more famous than ever. Thread of the removal here. 3-D image of the piece here. 

A thread of June 4 art.

A Tsinghua U expert explains Beijing’s Hong Kong-version of democracy outlined in the recent white paper…

By making elections more broadly representative, politically inclusive, ensuring balanced participation, guaranteeing fair competition, and focusing on candidates’ policy agendas and capabilities, the central government also pushed for Hong Kong to shift from Western-style democracy – characterised by confrontation and vicious competition – to a democracy that suits the region and with its own characteristics.

(From CNN several years ago, a reminder why Britain ‘never gave Hong Kong democracy’.)

Only in Hong Kong – court convicts people for wearing face masks.

Some holiday reading…

CMP on the fate of a teacher who deviated from the CCP’s line on the 1937 Nanjing massacre.

Variety on how Hollywood is being frozen out of China…

“The partition between politics, political agenda and content-making is completely eroded there. No matter what talent or corporations want, it’s always at the behest of what the Party is pushing for and asking for…”

“Xi Jinping’s goal is absolutely to have Chinese films play worldwide just like Hollywood movies, so that China can exert soft power and replace Hollywood. There’s no way they’re going to be cooperative going forward, allowing U.S. films into China,” he explains. “Some films will get through, but they’ll be ones China likes, when they want, and there’ll be fewer and fewer until the tap gets shut off completely, the way it’s being shut off this year.”

…Once the China market is no longer such a governing factor, storylines and scripts will change, numerous interviewees predicted. “They might finally cast Richard Gere. There might finally be a Chinese bad guy,” jokes one producer source.

And some seasonal cheer from Zolina City Mag: soy-sauce Christmas dining – a 70s-90s thing. (Compare and contrast with American Jews’ tradition of Yuletide meals at Chinese restaurants.) Back in the days when we were poorer but happier, colleagues of my age all loved this holiday because their parents ignored it, so they could have fun with their friends and – the main thing – didn’t have to visit grandparents. Years later, my old colleagues were dragging their kids out for Christmas festivities.

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Waiting for better governance in a nano flat

Group photo of 27 of the 30 – all-male – functional constituency lawmakers looking forward to a harmonious conflict-free Legislative Council.

According to the official narrative, with no more dastardly pan-dems in LegCo mysteriously forcing the government to push housing prices up, Hong Kong can now finally enjoy better governance. It should be interesting to see how the all-patriots system delivers new improved policies in the coming year or so. For example…

The latest batch of subsidized homes for sale include units as small as 186 sq ft – or 1.5 car parking spaces. Hong Kong can have affordable, decent-sized homes any time the government allows land to be used for residential housing rather than for revenue-raising. Don’t hold your breath.

In an (apparent) state of panic after the death of a pedestrian when an illegally parked car rolled into her, the ever-more malignant Transport Department (apparently) deletes online material about (apparently) previously abandoned pedestrianization plans. Transit Jam reported the deletion earlier; the damning timing is new (apparently). Key words: ‘agitated’ and ‘prickled by criticism’.

(More transport-related misgovernance here – drivers use cycleways to park cars.)

And an artist goes undercover to reveal conditions for outsourced cleaners on minimum wage at the MTR. Maybe labour activists should step in – except they’re in jail and their unions have been closed down.

So much scope for ‘better governance’. More likely, ongoing NatSec horrors (jailings under fake-news laws, extra brainwashing for kindergartens, etc) will distract everyone’s attention from continued failures in basic quality-of-life and livelihood issues.

Some mid-week links…

From SCMP, an interesting – not to say telling – breakdown of the collapse in voter turnout in individual polling stations…

Chi Fu Fa Yuen polling station in Pok Fu Lam recorded a decline of 43 percentage points, down from 2016’s 70 per cent to 27 per cent…

[At] Tai Koo Shing Post Office, only 1,049 voters cast their ballots on Sunday, down by 69 per cent from 2016’s 3,333.

…turnout at the polling station in Lai Chi Kok Community Hall, which covers four major middle-class residences including Liberte and the Pacifica, also dropped from 66 per cent to 28 per cent, marking a decline of 38 percentage points.

A nice succinct thread by Michael Pettis on China’s overvalued housing…

…the price of real estate in China is probably 2-3 times higher than what can be economically justified, which implies that there is RMB 200-230 trillion of fictitious wealth collateralizing loans and propping up spending.

Business Insider on how the latest in the Peng Shui saga follows Beijing’s celebrity-disappearance playbook.

Linking to Teen Vogue is no biggy, but how about Sports Illustrated? Why did the WTA risk everything for Peng Shuai?

More on sport: for at least ten thousand years, humans have crafted footwear to make their lives better. A Hongkonger decides they were wrong.

CMP on Beijing’s new restrictions on online vids…

There is no room for latitude or a sense of humor in the CNSA rules.

Amazon deletes reviews of Xi Jinping’s fab book.

George Magnus on the disappearance of Chinese companies from the global top 10 market-cap chart.

For nostalgia buffs, a glowing documentary (in Mandarin) on the prosperous modern ‘high-tech’ Republic of China in the mid-70s, at the height of Taiwan’s grimy, polluted sweatshop-era glory. (Basically about infrastructure and industry – no food or people. Aviation fans can jump to 23.10.)

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